FOOD CLUB BETTING

Garet's Food Club Bets.

Bets are now usually placed before 8:00pm NST. LoL

Later in the month, during "Trophy Run" you may see two different Bet tables. This is because, for high score purposes, ANY return helps your score. Therefore, I'll make bets that I expect to lose neopoints on but that should yield some return in order to boost your score. For example, a return of 6:10, while losing nps in terms of profit/loss, would add 44,000 to the score of someone with a 10 year old account if they bet the maximum.

My general approach:
I, personally, rarely let the Food Adjustments sway me. I figure they are usually calculated into opening odds anyway. I'm more of an odds-based bettor than anything. I usually don't cover multiple upset possibilities anymore, outside of the occasional pyramid pattern, but I'm still not afraid to skip days if the risk/reward factor seems out of whack to me...guess you could say I'm pretty conservative...I think. LoL

Lifetime ROI* (Return on Investment) = 1.81 as of Sep 25th, 2016
*Lifetime ROI is calculated as Win Total / Bet Total in my Bet History so includes returns on days I've advised skipping, both positive and negative, as well as returns where I've messed up my personal bets but corrected them for the page.

I'LL OFTEN FORGET TO CHANGE THE DAY/DATE, IF THE COMMENTARY HAS CHANGED, SO HAVE THE BETS

Food Club betting for Fri Oct 20th

Skipped yesterday.
Well, blah. Gooblah did win so I guess I missed out on some profit.

Relatively easy set today, thankfully.
(Tired+groggy...ugh)

Two positives with four safeties, a pseudo of Harry's with three more safeties, and boost Lagoon. Done.

LINK TO THE FOOD CLUB BET PAGE

Current Bets
RoundBet InfoAmountOddsWinnings
6741Shipwreck: Ol' Stripey
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
11828 NP10:1118280 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Hidden Cove: Young Sproggie
11828 NP8:194624 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Puffo the Waister
11828 NP20:1236560 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Peg Leg Percival
11828 NP48:1567744 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: The Tailhook Kid
11828 NP16:1189248 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Lagoon: Federismo Corvallio
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Lucky McKyriggan
11828 NP16:1189248 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Lagoon: Franchisco Corvallio
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Lucky McKyriggan
11828 NP40:1473120 NP
6741Shipwreck: Buck Cutlass
Lagoon: Gooblah the Grarrl
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Lucky McKyriggan
11828 NP24:1283872 NP
6741Shipwreck: Ned the Skipper
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
11828 NP24:1283872 NP
6741Shipwreck: Bonnie Pip Culliford
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
11828 NP16:1189248 NP
Total Possible Winnings2625816 NP

.

Upon request, I made a form of a link back button:
If you want to use this image:
Garet's FC Page
just copy and paste the following:

If you want to use this smaller image:
Garet's FC Page
this is the one to use:

...and if you want to use Lucy's image:
Garet's FC Page
this is the one to use:

.

.

Monthly Summary of Advised Bets
(calculated from the 2nd through the 1st)
Month Bet Ratio ROI Profit/Loss At My Acct Age
Feb 2013 528:260 2.03 +2251416 NP
Mar 2013 523:270 1.94 +2145498 NP
Apr 2013 438:260 1.68 +1517176 NP
May 2013 411:230 1.79 +1553210 NP
Jun 2013 626:240 2.61 +3338184 NP
July 2013 578:270 2.14 +2682352 NP
Aug 2013 408:220* 1.85 +1648828 NP
Sep 2013 636:280 2.27 +3148156 NP
Oct 2013 470:280 1.68 +1690136 NP
Nov 2013 452:280 1.61 +1543508 NP
Dec 2013 564:290 1.94 +2472892 NP
Jan 2014 526:260 2.02 +2415544 NP
Feb 2014 496:230 2.16 +2431564 NP
Mar 2014 582:260 2.24 +2959968 NP
Apr 2014 404:250 1.62 +1427712 NP
May 2014 544:270 2.01 +2554568 NP
Jun 2014 720:280 2.57 +4127532 NP
Jul 2014 380:190** 2.00 +1793464 NP
Aug 2014 526:260 2.02 +2530708 NP
Sep 2014 558:180*** 3.10 +3615840 NP
Oct 2014 354:180**** 1.97 +1677176 NP
Nov 2014 364:270 1.35 +910008 NP
*August 2013 includes a week of skipped days while I was on vacation.
**July 2014 includes eight skipped days while I was on vacation.
***September 2014 includes ten blank days because of the transition, either directly via neo being out or indirectly due to FC not processing.
****October 2014 includes nine blank days due to FC not processing as well as one I missed coming on that it did.

.

Earning A Trophy:

Trophies are usually awarded at 11:50 NST during Daylight Savings Time but I think that due to it being Standard time right now, they are being awarded at 10:50 NST instead.

Your score in Food Club is the amount of winnings you collect at one time. You can hold 8 consecutive rounds worth. So if you start holding on Round 5000, then you'll have to collect after the results for Round 5007 and before 10:50/11:50pm NST in order to get it posted for that day's trophy awarding. Also, if you wait until after midnight NST, your winnings on Round 5000 will disappear completely. That may not be a bad thing. If you only won a minimal amount (or nothing) on Round 5000 and Round 5008 looks promising, you could intentionally give up Round 5000 earnings in order to try to move up.

While I often reference Trophy Run, it is not the sole means of acquiring a trophy, it's just generally the easiest time since that's when the scores are reset.

You'll see me talking about Holds, that is what you do when trying for a trophy: you Hold your winnings rather than collecting them. Outside of Trophy Run, I generally recommend starting a Hold when you get a good return, say 40:10 or better, and see how the next few days go. If there is a tank or low return, go on and collect and hope for another Hold later.

Keep in mind, also, that you don't have to wait for all 8 rounds before collecting. Let's say you've got 7 rounds worth being held, you're on at 10:45pm NST, and see that if you collect you'd get a trophy (or trophy upgrade), why not go ahead and do it? You could worry about upgrading later and it saves you from the chance of others getting a better return on that 8th day and knocking you out of that spot.

When going for a trophy on the usual Trophy Run, keep in mind that account age plays a huge factor in determining your success, especially if you are following a bet page. Consider: if 50 people are all using the exact same bets and those bets happen to have the best return, then unless your account is older than 17 of the ones that are holding for the trophy, you won't score enough to make trophy level.

This is a perfect example of what I mean when I say even a 6:10 day, to a 10 year old account, can make a difference. Notice that the additional 44k a 6:10 would give was the difference in both Bronze and Silver and Bronze or no trophy at all!

In terms of timing, what is considered the "Trophy Run" is when your 8th bet falls after scores have been reset on the 1st of the month. November 24th is day 1 of Trophy Run this month. If you're going to try for the trophy then, make sure to collect after the results of November 23rd but before 1:00 PM NST on the 24th, then collect again after the results on December 1st (2:15 PM NST) and before 10:50 PM NST!

Trophy Run Results
Month Bet Ratio Acct started on or before for Bronze Trophy* Acct started on or before for Silver Trophy* Acct started on or before for Gold Trophy*
Jun 2013 135:80 April 4, 2006 November 3, 2002 Impossible
Jul 2013 122:80 Impossible Impossible Impossible
Aug 2013 182:80** November 12, 2004 May 26, 2003 October 21, 2000
Sep 2013 154:80 April 28, 2005 February 22, 2003 Impossible
Oct 2013 126:80 May 28, 2000 Impossible Impossible
Nov 2013 172:80 Impossible Impossible Impossible
Dec 2013 122:80 September 7, 2000 Impossible Impossible
Jan 2014 96:80*** Impossible Impossible Impossible
Feb 2014 158:80 October 28, 2003 October 8, 2001 Impossible
Mar 2014 119:80
263:80****
September 30, 2002
January 26, 2009****
Impossible
April 22, 2007****
Impossible
June 20, 2005****
Apr 2014 110:80
166:80*****
Impossible
April 27, 2004*****
Impossible
May 16, 2000*****
Impossible
Impossible
May 2014 161:80*
122:80
November 21, 2000
Impossible
Impossible
Impossible
Impossible
Impossible
Jun 2014 184:80 February 19, 2001 Impossible Impossible
Jul 2014 N/A (vacation) N/A N/A N/A
Aug 2014 168:80 Impossible Impossible Impossible
Sep 2014 ???:?? N/A N/A N/A
Oct 2014 138:80 Unknown Unknown Unknown
Nov 2014 58:80
technically
~Aug 2001* Unknown Unknown
*Obviously, these are based on the scores needed at the time for each level on the 1st of the given month.
**Aug 2013 was delayed due to not getting back from vacation until the 28th so didn't start holding on the 25th like I normally would have....and had I not held, again *kicks self*, it would have been March 14, 2004 for silver and January 31, 2005 for bronze.
***Had someone done the ultra-conservative in Day 2 of the Run, the result would have been 110:80 and January 13, 2000 for bronze.
****If you had bet the extra-risky day that paid off 168:10 instead of 28:10.
*****If you had bet the extra-risky day that paid off 84:10 instead of 28:10.
*For May 2014, the 161:80 was following the Conservative/Recommended bets, the 122:80 was on the Risky ones (that didn't pay off, obviously).
For July 2014, I didn't get back from vacation until the 29th and the Run started on the 25th and I elected not to track a delayed run like I had in August the previous year.
September 2014, we had the transition and the high score table didn't reset.
October 2014, I didn't check due to waning interest and other assorted issues.
November 2014, had someone collected in the brief window from when the gates opened at 2:15pm NST and the glitched trophy awarding time of ~4:15pm NST. How sad is it that a losing effort could have yielded a trophy? LoL.



Heads Up! You're about to leave Neopia!

You've clicked on a link that will take you outside of
Neopets.com. We do not control your destination's website,
so its rules, regulations, and Meepit defense systems will be
different! Are you sure you'd like to continue?



It is a journey
I must face...alone.
*dramatic music*
I want to stay on Neopets,
where the dangers of
Meepit invasion
are taken seriously.
Heads Up! You're about to leave Neopia!

You've clicked on a link that will take you outside of
Neopets.com. We do not control your destination's website,
so its rules, regulations, and Meepit defense systems will be
different! Are you sure you'd like to continue?



It is a journey
I must face...alone.
*dramatic music*
I want to stay on Neopets,
where the dangers of
Meepit invasion
are taken seriously.
Heads Up! You're about to leave Neopia!

You've clicked on a link that will take you outside of
Neopets.com. We do not control your destination's website,
so its rules, regulations, and Meepit defense systems will be
different! Are you sure you'd like to continue?



It is a journey
I must face...alone.
*dramatic music*
I want to stay on Neopets,
where the dangers of
Meepit invasion
are taken seriously.
/help/bumper/headers/log-in-to-facebook

NEOPETS, characters, logos, names and all related indicia
are trademarks of Neopets, Inc., © 1999-2017.
® denotes Reg. US Pat. & TM Office. All rights reserved.

PRIVACY POLICY | Safety Tips | Contact Us | About Us | Press Kit
Use of this site signifies your acceptance of the Terms and Conditions